Green Economy Modelling Report of South Africa: Focus on Natural Resource Management, Agriculture, Transport and Energy Sectors

The South African Green Economy Model (SAGEM), which is based on a system dynamics modelling approach, is primarily aimed at assessing the impacts of green economy investments in selected sectors pertaining to the South African economy. Based on planned targets and expenditures and/or costs of interventions, the model identifies the possible options and opportunities to achieving these targets. Four scenarios were defined: BAU, or business-as-usual; BAU2% representing a 2 per cent investment of gross domestic product in the BAU activities; GE2% representing an allocation of 2 per cent of gross domestic product in green economy sectors (natural resource management, agriculture, transport and energy); and GETS, which is a target-specific scenario aimed at identifying whether policy-makers can achieve the medium- to long-term targets following green economy interventions in the prioritised sectors.