Exploratory Future Narratives Primer - STAP Advisory Document

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dc.contributor.approvalRecordDirector, Office of Science
dc.contributor.authorGlobal Environment Facility
dc.contributor.organizationOffice of Science
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-24T11:37:00Z
dc.date.issued2023-06
dc.date.submitted2026-03-24
dc.descriptionThis document provides practical guidance on using simple future narratives to improve the design of projects and programs supported by the Global Environment Facility. Prepared by the Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel, it encourages the use of plausible future scenarios to strengthen project resilience and ensure long-term environmental benefits. The guidance addresses a common weakness in project planning, where future trends are often recognized but uncertainties related to climate change, population growth, economic development, and other drivers are rarely considered in project design. By encouraging project developers to examine multiple possible futures during the early planning stage, the document supports more flexible, adaptive, and effective interventions. It presents a practical and resource-efficient approach that improves decision-making, reduces risks associated with uncertainty, and contributes to achieving sustainable and transformational environmental outcomes over the long term.en
dc.description.reviewStatuspeer-reviewed
dc.description.statusAdopted
dc.formatpdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.59117/20.500.11822/49357
dc.identifier.isbn978-92-807-4276-3
dc.identifier.otherOoS/2758/WA
dc.identifier.urihttps://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/49357
dc.languageEnglish
dc.page.number27 p.
dc.relation.TableOfContentsForeword Glossary 1. A Brief Overview of the Concept and Use of Narratives 1.1 What Are Scenarios and Narratives? 1.2 What Is the Benefit of Using Future Narratives in Designing GEF Investments? 1.3 How to Develop Future Narratives – Process and Content 1.4 When in the GEF Cycle Should Future Narratives Be Used? 1.5 How to Assess the Usefulness of a Future Narratives Process 1.6 Getting Help With Future Narratives 2. A Short Guide to Developing Exploratory Narratives 2.1 Before Developing Future Narratives 2.2 Steps in Developing Future Narratives 2.3 Using Future Narratives in a PIF 2.4 Summary Guide to Using Future Narratives, Particularly in Relation to PIFs Appendix 1: Some Frequently Asked Questions Appendix 2: Some Example Simple Narratives Example 1: Multinational Waters Fisheries in the Caribbean Example 2: Enduring Forest Restoration in a Coastal Lowlands Area of Asia Example 3: Improving Environmental Outcomes in a Textiles and Garment Value Chain in Africa References
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 IGOen
dc.rights.accessLevelPublic
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/
dc.subject.sdgSDG 15 - Life on Land
dc.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate Action
dc.subject.themeadministration
dc.subject.themeproject
dc.subject.themegovernance
dc.subject.themebiology
dc.subject.themeecosystem resilience
dc.titleExploratory Future Narratives Primer - STAP Advisory Documenten
dc.typeNon-technical guideline
wd.identifier.institutionsScientific and Technical Advisory Panel

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