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T1 Emissions Gap Report 2025 - Key Messages
A1 United Nations Environment Programme, 
K1 greenhouse gas emission
K1 emission inventory
K1 carbon emission
K1 emission level
K1 climate change mitigation
K1 temperature
K1 global warming
K1 climate
YR 2025
FD 2025-11
LK https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/48857
UL https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/48857
NO An analysis of available new climate pledges under the Paris Agreement finds that the predicted global temperature rise over the course of this century has slightly fallen, but not by enough to avoid a serious escalation of climate risks and damages. UNEP’s Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off Target finds that global warming projections over this century, based on full implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), are now 2.3-2.5°C, while those based on current policies are 2.8°C. This compares to 2.5-2.8°C and 3.1°C in last year’s report. However, some of the progress is due to methodological updates, and the withdrawal of the US from the Paris Agreement in January 2026 will once wipe out about 0.1°C, meaning the NDCs have barely moved the needle.
NO https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2025
DS UN Environment Document Repository
RD Sep 23, 2026