RT null T1 Emissions Gap Report 2022 - Chapter 4 A2 Fransen, Taryn A2 Ganti, Gaurav A2 Kikstra, Jarmo A2 Köberle, Alexandre A2 Lamboll, Robin A2 Mittal, Shivika A2 Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich A2 Rogelj, Joeri A2 den Elzen, Michel A2 Schumer, Clea A2 Portugal-Pereira, Joana K1 greenhouse gas emission K1 climate change K1 climate change mitigation PB United Nations Environment Programme SN 978-92-807-3979-4 YR 2022 FD 2022-10 LK https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/40928 UL https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/40928 NO The emissions gap is defined as the difference between the estimated total global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions resulting from the full implementation of the nationally determined contributions (NDCs), and the total global GHG emissions from least-cost pathways consistent with the Paris Agreement long-term goal of limiting global average temperature increase to well below 2°C, and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5°C relative to pre-industrial levels. Or in other words, the gap between promised and needed emission reductions. The key questions assessed in this chapter are, what is the current best estimate of the emissions gap for 2030 considering the latest NDCs? What levels of global emissions are in line with the climate mitigation goals of the Paris Agreement? Where are we headed under current policies and various mitigation pledge scenarios in terms of global warming over the course of the century?Full report is available at: https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/40874 DS UN Environment Document Repository RD Sep 25, 2026