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T1 Projections of Future Coral Bleaching Conditions using IPCC CMIP6 Models: Climate Policy Implications, Management Applications, and Regional Seas Summaries
A1 United Nations Environment Programme, 
A2 van Hooidonk, Ruben
A2 Maynard, Jeffrey
A2 Grimsditch, Gabriel
A2 Williams, Gareth
A2 Tamelander, Jerker
A2 Gove, Jamison
A2 Koldewey, Heather
A2 Ahmadia, Gabriella
A2 Tracey, Dieter
A2 Hum, Kim
A2 Conklin, Eric
A2 Berumen, Michael
K1 coral reef
K1 coral bleaching
K1 marine ecosystem
K1 marine environment
K1 Caribbean region
K1 Red Sea
K1 Caribbean Sea
K1 Gulf of Aden
K1 East Africa
K1 Indian Ocean
K1 South Asia
K1 East Asia
K1 Pacific Islands (Trust Territory)
K1 Pacific Ocean
YR 2020
FD 2020
LK https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/34219
UL https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/34219
NO The purpose of this report is threefold: 1. To present projections of coral bleaching conditions (i.e., exposure to the primary climatethreat to coral reefs) and potential adaptation at a spatial scale that enables use of the data in management and conservation planning and in support of other decisions influencing coral reefs and reef use; 2. To evaluate the implications of the Paris Agreement as well as failure to achieve its goal, by comparing the projected timing of annual severe bleaching between Shared SocioeconomicPathways SSP5-8.5 and SSP2-4.5; and 3. To provide public access to the projections data as well as the main findings to catalyzeresearch that extends the purposes and applications described in 1 and 2, and informs new research.
DS UN Environment Document Repository
RD Sep 17, 2026